Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +120 UVU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +9 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -0.5 (-8.5) | 147.2 (-22.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.7 (-7.3) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.6 (-7.4) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.3 (-7.7) | 145.9 (-20.9) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#137) | 6.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#107) | 1.60 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#118) | 2.06 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#102) | 0.573 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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