Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -260 SEA +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -5.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -5.8 (+0.2) | 141.2 (-25.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.9 (+1.1) | 141.2 (-25.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.5 (+2.5) | 139.3 (-23.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -5.2 (+0.8) | 140.4 (-24.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UVU 67 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#125) | 0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#100) | -0.75 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#116) | -0.62 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#81) | 0.472 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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