Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -125 COLO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -1.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.6 (+7.4) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -2.1 (+6.9) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -2.0 (+7.0) | 146.4 (+0.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -2.1 (+6.9) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | COLO 58 – 52 WSU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | COLO 74 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | COLO 58 – 55 WSU |
| Jan 31, 2022 | WSU 70 – 43 COLO |
| Jan 7, 2022 | COLO 83 – 78 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#46) | 13.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#62) | 1.96 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#65) | 2.60 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#73) | 0.608 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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