Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | COLO -345 WSU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -8.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.5 (+0.5) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -7.2 (-0.2) | 143.3 (-2.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.5 (+0.5) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.1 (+0.9) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | COLO 58 – 52 WSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WSU 78 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 22, 2023 | COLO 58 – 55 WSU |
| Jan 31, 2022 | WSU 70 – 43 COLO |
| Jan 7, 2022 | COLO 83 – 78 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#25) | 9.2 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#46) | 1.45 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#43) | 1.82 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#35) | 0.563 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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