Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -250 WSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -4.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.8 (-0.8) | 132.5 (-19.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.1 (-1.1) | 135.7 (-22.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.0 (-1.0) | 135.6 (-22.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.7 (-0.7) | 134.7 (-21.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | COLO 58 – 52 WSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WSU 78 – 69 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2023 | COLO 74 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 31, 2022 | WSU 70 – 43 COLO |
| Jan 7, 2022 | COLO 83 – 78 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#50) | 8.5 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#105) | 0.55 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#85) | 1.01 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#94) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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