Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | COLO -150 WSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -2.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.0 (+5.0) | 136.8 (+24.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -1.8 (+6.8) | 136.4 (+24.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -1.5 (+6.5) | 137.9 (+23.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -2.3 (+7.3) | 137.4 (+23.6) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | COLO 58 – 52 WSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WSU 78 – 69 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2023 | COLO 74 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | COLO 58 – 55 WSU |
| Jan 31, 2022 | WSU 70 – 43 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | 10.4 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#81) | 0.53 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#97) | 1.08 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#88) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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