Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +27 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -7.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -6.6 (+20.4) | 133.5 (-20.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -5.3 (+21.7) | 134.7 (-21.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -5.5 (+21.5) | 134.9 (-21.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -5.5 (+21.5) | 134.5 (-21.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2024 | COLO 58 – 52 WSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WSU 78 – 69 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2023 | COLO 74 – 67 WSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | COLO 58 – 55 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | COLO 83 – 78 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 6.5 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#110) | 1.50 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#93) | 1.92 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#100) | 0.551 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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