Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -300 TEX +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -13.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.7 (+2.3) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.2 (+1.8) | 146.1 (+9.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.1 (+0.9) | 148.0 (+8.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.5 (+1.5) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2026 | TEX 79 – 71 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 20.5 (#4) | 11.0 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#34) | 1.91 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#32) | 2.29 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#49) | 0.578 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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