You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
(6) BYU Cougars
71 – 79
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(11) Texas Longhorns
Moda Center (Neutral) · March 19, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money BYU -155 / TEX +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total BYU win
Actual TEX +8 150 Lost
Massey BYU -4.1 (-12.1) — —
Massey Totals — 163.6 (-13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -3.4 (-11.4) 158.0 (-8.0) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -2.9 (-10.9) 154.4 (-4.4) 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BYU -2.9 (-10.9) 157.2 (-7.2) 65% ✗
Baseline ML BYU -4.2 (-12.2) 156.4 (-6.4) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2024 BYU 84 – 72 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BYU TEX
Overall 23-12 21-15
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 14-3 12-5
Away 3-6 5-6
Neutral 6-3 4-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 83.5 81.7
Avg Pts Against 75.4 76.1
Massey 17.7 (#22) 13.6 (#41)
Bradley-Terry 2.98 (#21) 2.04 (#45)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.63 (#22) 2.98 (#38)
RPI 0.600 (#24) 0.539 (#88)
Shooting & Four Factors BYU TEX
FG% 47.7% 47.6%
3PT% 34.9% 34.8%
REB / G 38.3 37.2
OREB / G 12.4 11.9
AST / TO 1.24 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 53.8%
TOV% 15.3% 15.4%
ORB% 34.6% 35.7%
FT Rate 25.5% 34.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 13.3%
DRB% 70.7% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 29.9%

Game Analysis

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