Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -450 UNI +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -9.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.0 (+5.0) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.7 (+4.3) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.3 (+4.7) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.7 (+5.3) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#50) | 4.3 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#57) | 1.01 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#53) | 1.23 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#35) | 0.556 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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