Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE +160 UNI -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +22 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -5.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.7 (-19.3) | 134.4 (-6.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -3.1 (-18.9) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.1 (-17.9) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -3.7 (-18.3) | 136.2 (-8.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 63 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | 6.9 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | 0.43 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#227) | 0.64 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#252) | 0.535 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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