Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -120 DRKE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -0.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -0.3 (-6.3) | 129.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -1.4 (-4.6) | 128.5 (-6.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -1.4 (-7.4) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -1.3 (-7.3) | 131.7 (-9.7) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 63 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#96) | 8.0 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#88) | 2.38 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#100) | 2.83 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#69) | 0.588 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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