And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Missouri Valley Conference · Knapp Center · January 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DRKE -7.5 Home covered
O/U 122.5 Under
Money DRKE -360 / UNI +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total DRKE win
Actual DRKE +14 118 Won
Massey DRKE -5.8 (+8.2) — —
Massey Totals — 124.4 (-6.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DRKE -6.3 (+7.7) 123.7 (-5.7) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DRKE -7.8 (+6.2) 119.6 (-1.6) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DRKE -6.4 (+7.6) 128.4 (-10.4) 77% ✓
Baseline ML DRKE -6.3 (+7.7) 126.8 (-8.8) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 UNI 75 – 53 DRKE
Feb 15, 2026 UNI 86 – 62 DRKE
Feb 23, 2025 DRKE 64 – 58 UNI
Feb 24, 2024 UNI 91 – 77 DRKE
Jan 27, 2024 DRKE 77 – 63 UNI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DRKE UNI
Overall 31-4 20-13
Conference 17-3 14-6
Home 14-2 14-3
Away 9-1 5-6
Neutral 8-1 1-4
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 68.5 72.6
Avg Pts Against 60.2 67.8
Massey 7.2 (#83) 4.7 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 2.51 (#32) 0.55 (#125)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.96 (#37) 0.64 (#127)
RPI 0.590 (#42) 0.527 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors DRKE UNI
FG% 47.6% 50.0%
3PT% 34.6% 37.2%
REB / G 30.5 31.9
OREB / G 10.6 7.5
AST / TO 1.08 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 56.7%
TOV% 19.5% 15.6%
ORB% 37.2% 24.6%
FT Rate 30.3% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 22.7% 17.7%
DRB% 73.7% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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