Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -800 LIN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -13.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -10.7 (-1.7) | 152.2 (-9.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -10.5 (-1.5) | 151.4 (-8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -10.3 (-1.3) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -10.8 (-1.8) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#243) | -14.2 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#232) | -2.37 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#234) | -2.99 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#225) | 0.376 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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