And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
UT Martin Skyhawks
76 67
FINAL Conference
Lindenwood Lions
Ohio Valley Conference · Kathleen and Tom Elam Center · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UTM -12.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money UTM -800 / LIN +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTM win
Actual UTM +9 143 Won
Massey UTM -13.9 (-4.9)
Massey Totals 156.4 (-13.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 95%
Efficiency Plus ML UTM -10.5 (-1.5) 151.4 (-8.4) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML UTM -10.3 (-1.3) 148.4 (-5.4) 86%
Baseline ML UTM -10.8 (-1.8) 148.9 (-5.9) 85%
Baseline Plus ML UTM -10.7 (-1.7) 152.2 (-9.2) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 LIN 7574 UTM
Jan 17, 2026 UTM 6955 LIN
Feb 7, 2025 LIN 5251 UTM
Jan 11, 2025 LIN 8281 UTM
Feb 23, 2024 UTM 10682 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTM LIN
Overall 21-11 9-22
Conference 14-4 3-15
Home 12-2 4-10
Away 9-7 3-12
Neutral 0-2 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.5 63.4
Avg Pts Against 77.9 74.9
Massey -4.0 (#243) -14.2 (#347)
Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#232) -2.37 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.78 (#234) -2.99 (#344)
RPI 0.473 (#225) 0.376 (#348)
Shooting & Four Factors UTM LIN
FG% 43.7% 39.7%
3PT% 35.9% 29.5%
REB / G 39.2 31.0
OREB / G 9.6 8.0
AST / TO 1.05 0.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 44.3%
TOV% 15.8% 19.0%
ORB% 25.3% 23.1%
FT Rate 23.0% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 17.1%
DRB% 73.3% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 30.9%

Game Analysis

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