Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +400 UTM -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +24 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -9.1 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+36.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -8.9 (-15.1) | 149.4 (+38.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.1 (-14.9) | 148.9 (+39.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -8.6 (-15.4) | 145.9 (+42.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.2 (-14.8) | 147.2 (+40.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UTM 76 – 67 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#356) | -3.2 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#353) | -0.04 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#350) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#359) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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