Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -120 UTM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -0.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -1.0 (+2.0) | 136.5 (+12.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -0.2 (+1.2) | 138.3 (+10.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -0.5 (+1.5) | 135.5 (+13.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.4 (+1.4) | 135.9 (+13.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UTM 76 – 67 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#239) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#224) | 0.15 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#238) | -0.24 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#201) | 0.512 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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