Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -162 LIN +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -6.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -4.9 (+9.1) | 140.2 (-16.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -5.5 (+8.5) | 139.6 (-15.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -5.3 (+8.7) | 135.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -5.0 (+9.0) | 136.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIN 52 – 51 UTM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UTM 76 – 67 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#186) | -3.9 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#124) | -0.57 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#160) | -0.82 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#157) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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