Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -275 LIN +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -7.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-41.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -4.5 (-5.5) | 144.3 (-41.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -6.2 (-7.2) | 142.7 (-39.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -4.0 (-5.0) | 141.4 (-38.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -4.4 (-5.4) | 141.6 (-38.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIN 75 – 74 UTM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTM 69 – 55 LIN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIN 82 – 81 UTM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UTM 106 – 82 LIN |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UTM 76 – 67 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#281) | -11.4 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#312) | -1.78 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#314) | -2.68 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#296) | 0.417 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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