I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–14 on winners spread MAE 9.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
SMU @ North Texas +1.6 125.0 60% 66–68 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +13.7 143.1 87% 55–64 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern -3.4 139.7 32% 77–54 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Delaware +12.5 147.5 85% 71–90 ✓
Drexel @ Towson -0.4 130.6 49% 67–70 ✗
Charleston @ Hampton -13.8 159.9 14% 107–86 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +7.1 133.6 72% 62–57 ✗
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast -1.8 145.0 45% 98–72 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner -2.4 127.2 39% 60–44 ✓
Stonehill @ Long Island University +1.8 139.9 64% 60–63 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis -5.3 139.0 29% 71–75 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -15.1 146.1 12% 78–50 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +2.1 157.6 62% 107–99 ✗
Oakland @ Green Bay -1.7 140.6 38% 59–69 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +2.4 151.2 62% 63–58 ✗
Bryant @ NJIT -8.0 148.0 25% 70–55 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +8.5 149.6 81% 73–79 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +7.9 149.1 81% 66–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Eastern Kentucky +8.0 148.1 78% 59–75 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +4.0 140.2 71% 82–83 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +11.4 133.1 85% 54–68 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Quinnipiac +5.7 147.7 73% 65–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +9.6 148.8 83% 66–80 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin -2.5 143.2 41% 53–51 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.3 141.2 31% 63–54 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee +10.7 150.5 87% 71–87 ✓
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +4.0 147.5 70% 67–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +8.6 138.8 81% 66–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +5.5 144.1 68% 73–70 ✗
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +6.7 152.8 74% 91–105 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +9.7 154.0 83% 58–84 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +4.3 134.0 67% 59–68 ✓
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -3.2 140.7 40% 66–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +3.6 146.0 70% 60–82 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon +7.1 146.7 77% 61–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +8.3 145.6 81% 72–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana -4.5 135.1 31% 73–68 ✓
South Dakota @ Denver +10.7 158.7 86% 110–111 ✓
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +7.0 139.7 75% 67–79 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -0.4 135.6 40% 70–62 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +2.3 136.4 61% 75–60 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington +7.2 158.9 79% 74–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara +9.6 147.7 83% 71–94 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +9.5 145.1 85% 65–92 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +4.1 141.6 61% 64–56 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -5.1 131.1 27% 54–51 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -3.4 146.9 31% 72–61 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego +8.0 138.4 82% 65–66 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -6.0 143.8 35% 46–72 ✗
Arizona @ Oregon State -15.4 152.0 16% 80–83 ✗
Pacific @ Saint Mary's +25.1 133.7 91% 28–76 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +2.3 134.6 63% 78–61 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +7.5 150.4 81% 75–81 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +4.7 150.8 68% 71–64 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.