Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +110 WRST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +8 | 206 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -1.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (+37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.4 (-9.4) | 160.7 (+45.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.1 (-10.1) | 157.6 (+48.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.0 (-9.0) | 161.7 (+44.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.5 (-8.5) | 163.1 (+42.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WRST 90 – 61 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WRST 102 – 90 CLE |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CLE 85 – 79 WRST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WRST 82 – 76 CLE |
| Dec 29, 2024 | CLE 78 – 64 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#188) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#169) | -0.24 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#181) | -0.18 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#163) | 0.496 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 53.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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