Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Wright State Raiders
90 – 61
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Cleveland State Vikings
Horizon League · Nutter Center · March 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -14.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money WRST -1600 / CLE +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +29 151 Won
Massey WRST -14.6 (+14.4) — —
Massey Totals — 164.4 (-13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -13.4 (+15.6) 159.7 (-8.7) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -10.5 (+18.5) 161.4 (-10.4) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -12.7 (+16.3) 158.6 (-7.6) 88% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -12.6 (+16.4) 159.9 (-8.9) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 WRST 102 – 90 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 85 – 79 WRST
Feb 28, 2025 WRST 82 – 76 CLE
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 78 – 64 WRST
Jan 26, 2024 WRST 107 – 99 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST CLE
Overall 23-12 11-22
Conference 15-5 6-14
Home 11-5 7-8
Away 9-5 3-13
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.8 78.6
Avg Pts Against 75.6 88.6
Massey 0.7 (#152) -10.9 (#320)
Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#136) -1.41 (#294)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#137) -1.86 (#297)
RPI 0.533 (#108) 0.434 (#311)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST CLE
FG% 48.1% 45.0%
3PT% 36.5% 37.9%
REB / G 34.4 31.1
OREB / G 11.0 9.1
AST / TO 1.15 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 54.6%
TOV% 16.6% 18.0%
ORB% 33.3% 27.4%
FT Rate 27.5% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 15.1%
DRB% 70.7% 63.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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