But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Wright State Raiders
90 61
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Cleveland State Vikings
Horizon League · Nutter Center · March 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -14.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money WRST -1600 / CLE +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +29 151 Won
Massey WRST -14.6 (+14.4)
Massey Totals 164.4 (-13.4)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML WRST -10.5 (+18.5) 161.4 (-10.4) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -12.7 (+16.3) 158.6 (-7.6) 88%
Baseline ML WRST -12.6 (+16.4) 159.9 (-8.9) 89%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -13.4 (+15.6) 159.7 (-8.7) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 WRST 10290 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 8579 WRST
Feb 28, 2025 WRST 8276 CLE
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 7864 WRST
Jan 26, 2024 WRST 10799 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST CLE
Overall 23-12 11-22
Conference 15-5 6-14
Home 11-5 7-8
Away 9-5 3-13
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.8 78.6
Avg Pts Against 75.6 88.6
Massey 0.7 (#152) -10.9 (#320)
Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#136) -1.41 (#294)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#137) -1.86 (#297)
RPI 0.533 (#108) 0.434 (#311)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST CLE
FG% 48.1% 45.0%
3PT% 36.5% 37.9%
REB / G 34.4 31.1
OREB / G 11.0 9.1
AST / TO 1.15 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 54.6%
TOV% 16.6% 18.0%
ORB% 33.3% 27.4%
FT Rate 27.5% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 15.1%
DRB% 70.7% 63.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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