What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -1.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money WRST -120 / CLE +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +6 158 Won
Massey WRST -1.0 (+5.0)
Massey Totals 144.8 (+13.2)
Bradley-Terry 42%
Weighted B-T 41%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -0.2 (+5.8) 145.6 (+12.4) 46%
Model 4 ML CLE -0.3 (+6.3) 144.4 (+13.6) 46%
Model 3 ML WRST -0.8 (+5.2) 144.3 (+13.7) 53%
Baseline ML WRST -0.1 (+5.9) 145.2 (+12.8) 49%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 WRST 9061 CLE
Feb 15, 2026 WRST 10290 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 8579 WRST
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 7864 WRST
Jan 26, 2024 WRST 10799 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST CLE
Overall 15-18 23-13
Conference 8-12 14-6
Home 11-4 14-4
Away 3-12 7-7
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 70.3
Avg Pts Against 77.5 68.0
Massey -3.0 (#216) -0.9 (#174)
Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#233) 0.20 (#158)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#219) 0.29 (#152)
RPI 0.476 (#224) 0.512 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST CLE
FG% 48.1% 43.6%
3PT% 38.1% 32.2%
REB / G 35.2 33.0
OREB / G 9.1 11.9
AST / TO 1.16 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 48.9%
TOV% 17.6% 17.8%
ORB% 27.7% 34.3%
FT Rate 19.5% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 22.4%
DRB% 73.5% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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