Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -120 CLE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.8 (+5.2) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.3 (+6.3) | 144.4 (+13.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.2 (+5.8) | 145.6 (+12.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.1 (+5.9) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WRST 90 – 61 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WRST 102 – 90 CLE |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CLE 85 – 79 WRST |
| Dec 29, 2024 | CLE 78 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 26, 2024 | WRST 107 – 99 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#216) | -0.9 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#233) | 0.20 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#219) | 0.29 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#224) | 0.512 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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