Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LT -600 UTEP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | LT -13.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -11.5 (+2.5) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -11.4 (+2.6) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.1 (+2.9) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -11.3 (+2.7) | 135.7 (-13.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#85) | -3.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#93) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#80) | -0.44 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#75) | 0.468 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 34.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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