Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +105 LT -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -6.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -5.1 (-0.9) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -4.0 (-2.0) | 138.1 (-14.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -5.3 (-0.7) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.9 (-1.1) | 138.3 (-14.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LT 68 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#206) | 7.0 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#217) | 0.87 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#215) | 1.40 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#251) | 0.566 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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