Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -142 LT +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -2.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.3 (-10.3) | 128.0 (+0.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -0.1 (-9.9) | 126.8 (+1.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -0.4 (-10.4) | 125.2 (+2.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.0 (-11.0) | 127.1 (+0.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LT 68 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#262) | -5.5 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#286) | -0.51 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#266) | -1.00 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.459 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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