Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -135 LT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.8 (+8.2) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.6 (+9.4) | 136.5 (-6.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.0 (+9.0) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.4 (+9.6) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LT 68 – 54 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#137) | 3.8 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#120) | 1.30 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#144) | 1.75 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#147) | 0.552 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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