Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 8.7 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
NC State @ Virginia +3.9 124.0 70% 53–59 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame -4.7 134.8 28% 73–61 ✓
South Florida @ Temple -1.5 142.0 41% 75–69 ✓
Murray State @ Bradley +10.6 137.7 84% 63–71 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -7.0 147.9 29% 78–67 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +5.0 139.2 71% 76–64 ✗
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -7.5 144.0 26% 78–59 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +6.2 148.0 67% 69–67 ✗
Army @ Boston University +3.7 124.0 53% 69–59 ✗
Holy Cross @ American University +10.3 138.2 84% 65–84 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +1.3 150.2 52% 71–68 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Louis -1.2 144.1 44% 84–61 ✓
George Washington @ Richmond +6.6 150.7 79% 74–82 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland -2.6 131.4 34% 70–44 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +1.4 133.5 49% 63–71 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford +0.6 150.9 48% 79–65 ✗
Samford @ Furman +0.8 160.9 57% 68–78 ✓
Mercer @ The Citadel +2.4 134.9 57% 66–68 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina +2.3 133.0 54% 85–82 ✗
Texas State @ Troy +8.8 140.9 81% 65–78 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -11.0 152.9 19% 78–62 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +3.6 150.4 70% 68–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Coastal Carolina -2.0 143.1 36% 79–63 ✓
North Alabama @ Kennesaw State +7.1 157.2 73% 90–84 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +7.0 156.4 77% 79–96 ✓
Auburn @ Alabama +5.2 157.2 72% 75–79 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +4.3 139.2 66% 54–52 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee -4.5 125.6 39% 67–75 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -12.4 149.6 14% 69–56 ✓
Tulane @ UTSA -6.6 166.3 38% 88–89 ✗
Indiana State @ UIC -11.8 148.1 20% 89–83 ✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +12.5 134.5 87% 69–75 ✓
Drake @ Missouri State -7.3 139.8 31% 80–83 ✗
Villanova @ St. John's +4.3 141.6 70% 50–70 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +3.2 148.7 68% 70–79 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -3.5 143.2 46% 91–96 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -15.3 145.6 12% 86–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +10.8 136.4 85% 67–78 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss +6.4 148.9 77% 51–77 ✓
Utah @ Washington State -1.3 143.4 51% 57–79 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +2.7 140.2 62% 64–77 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -9.6 151.8 19% 95–75 ✓
Colorado @ Washington -0.4 152.9 51% 98–81 ✓
Elon @ Campbell +2.0 139.3 60% 68–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -2.4 146.1 38% 76–60 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine +3.3 145.3 71% 73–81 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook +1.7 145.7 60% 65–72 ✓
Georgia Southern @ App State +14.6 145.0 89% 74–84 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +3.6 137.9 59% 72–65 ✗
North Florida @ Bellarmine -1.2 141.6 41% 71–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.