Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -133 DAV +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +23 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.8 (-22.2) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.2 (-21.8) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -0.7 (-22.3) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.7 (-22.3) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SLU 74 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#212) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#154) | 0.53 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#169) | 0.69 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#138) | 0.529 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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