Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DAV +370 SLU -485 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -12.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.8 (+0.8) | 144.2 (+28.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.1 (+0.1) | 143.1 (+29.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.6 (+1.6) | 144.3 (+28.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -9.4 (+0.4) | 145.2 (+27.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SLU 74 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 19-0 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#109) | 19.5 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#98) | 3.28 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#102) | 4.73 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#78) | 0.633 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 61.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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