Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -185 DAV +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -2.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.8 (+5.2) | 140.3 (+17.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -4.7 (+3.3) | 139.4 (+18.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -4.6 (+3.4) | 140.2 (+17.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -3.6 (+4.4) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SLU 74 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#106) | 1.0 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#119) | 0.06 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#112) | 0.31 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#94) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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