Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Saint Louis Billikens
83 – 75
FINAL Neutral Conference Atlantic 10
Davidson Wildcats
Atlantic 10 Conference · Capital One Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money SLU -185 / DAV +155
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +8 158 Won
Massey SLU -2.7 (+5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (+16.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -2.5 (+5.5) 139.2 (+18.8) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -1.8 (+6.2) 140.0 (+18.0) 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -3.5 (+4.5) 139.3 (+18.7) 65% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -3.5 (+4.5) 140.2 (+17.8) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SLU 91 – 82 DAV
Feb 26, 2025 SLU 57 – 56 DAV
Jan 25, 2024 DAV 84 – 61 SLU
Feb 16, 2023 SLU 78 – 65 DAV
Jan 28, 2023 SLU 74 – 70 DAV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU DAV
Overall 19-15 17-16
Conference 11-7 6-12
Home 14-3 11-6
Away 4-9 4-7
Neutral 1-3 2-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.6 72.0
Avg Pts Against 72.6 71.5
Massey 3.7 (#106) 1.0 (#144)
Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#119) 0.06 (#163)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#112) 0.31 (#143)
RPI 0.542 (#94) 0.504 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU DAV
FG% 47.3% 45.2%
3PT% 35.2% 34.1%
REB / G 35.2 32.9
OREB / G 7.6 8.0
AST / TO 1.17 1.51
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.1% 52.4%
TOV% 18.8% 14.6%
ORB% 23.9% 24.4%
FT Rate 20.4% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 15.2%
DRB% 71.9% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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