Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DAV +115 SLU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -0.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.3 (-3.7) | 144.0 (-0.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -0.2 (-4.2) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.7 (-3.3) | 143.9 (+0.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -1.2 (-2.8) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#153) | 5.2 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#170) | 1.33 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#142) | 1.56 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#142) | 0.586 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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