Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -125 SLU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -2.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.2 (-3.2) | 142.6 (-29.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.5 (-2.5) | 142.8 (-29.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.0 (-3.0) | 142.7 (-29.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.8 (-2.8) | 143.0 (-30.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SLU 74 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#130) | 2.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | 0.50 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#131) | 0.77 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#166) | 0.537 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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