Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -250 DAV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -6.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -5.4 (+7.6) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.0 (+8.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.0 (+8.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -4.7 (+8.3) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SLU 74 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#112) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#87) | -0.06 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#95) | 0.38 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#54) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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