Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WOF +110 UTC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -1.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.6 (-14.6) | 150.9 (-6.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.5 (-13.5) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.6 (-13.4) | 149.8 (-5.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.8 (-13.2) | 149.9 (-5.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#209) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#168) | 0.11 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#199) | -0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.492 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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