Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -265 UTC +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -8.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -6.9 (-15.9) | 147.3 (-4.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.6 (-15.6) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.6 (-15.6) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.8 (-16.8) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UTC 81 – 65 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#231) | -9.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#175) | -1.78 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#199) | -2.25 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#194) | 0.402 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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