Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -120 WOF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +26 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -0.9 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.5 (-26.5) | 147.5 (-11.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.7 (-25.3) | 146.1 (-10.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.7 (-25.3) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.7 (-25.3) | 147.5 (-11.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UTC 81 – 65 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#287) | -3.8 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#299) | 0.10 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#295) | -0.38 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#292) | 0.502 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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