Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -225 WOF +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -2.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -2.6 (+15.4) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -2.4 (+15.6) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -2.4 (+15.6) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.4 (+15.6) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UTC 81 – 65 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#154) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#125) | 0.22 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | 0.03 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#141) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.