Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -145 WOF +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -1.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.5 (+1.5) | 146.1 (+17.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.2 (+1.8) | 147.8 (+16.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.4 (+1.6) | 149.9 (+14.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.4 (+1.6) | 148.6 (+15.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UTC 81 – 65 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 12-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#176) | 1.4 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#207) | 0.33 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#199) | 0.68 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#225) | 0.541 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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