Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -333 WOF +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -7.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -6.3 (+9.7) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -5.6 (+10.4) | 148.4 (-2.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -5.2 (+10.8) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -5.5 (+10.5) | 147.8 (-1.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#138) | -1.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#118) | 0.19 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#125) | -0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.515 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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