Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -115 UTC -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -2.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.4 (-11.4) | 144.2 (+4.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.7 (-11.7) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.0 (-11.0) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.3 (-11.3) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UTC 81 – 65 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | 1.1 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#171) | 0.31 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | 0.30 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#139) | 0.524 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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