Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -250 MD +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -8.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -6.4 (-8.4) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.2 (-8.2) | 148.0 (-12.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.2 (-8.2) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.3 (-8.3) | 145.0 (-9.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | IOWA 75 – 64 MD |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MD 77 – 70 IOWA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 64 MD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MD 101 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MD 78 – 66 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#39) | 7.4 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#76) | 0.66 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#70) | 1.25 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#96) | 0.513 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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