Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +120 COLO -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +17 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -0.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.6 (-17.6) | 154.8 (+24.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.4 (-16.6) | 152.9 (+26.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.1 (-16.9) | 151.9 (+27.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.3 (-17.3) | 152.5 (+26.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
| Dec 4, 2022 | WASH 73 – 63 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#58) | 12.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#88) | 1.78 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#87) | 2.38 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#78) | 0.602 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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