Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -500 WASH +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -9.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -8.5 (-11.5) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -7.6 (-10.6) | 141.1 (+5.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -7.9 (-10.9) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.8 (-10.8) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2022 | WASH 73 – 63 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#42) | 4.0 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#88) | 0.73 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#78) | 0.96 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#66) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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