Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | COLO -400 WASH +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -7.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.9 (-1.9) | 160.3 (-18.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.7 (-2.7) | 158.5 (-16.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.7 (-2.7) | 160.4 (-18.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.4 (-2.4) | 161.5 (-19.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
| Dec 4, 2022 | WASH 73 – 63 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#20) | 10.5 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#61) | 1.79 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#50) | 2.34 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#54) | 0.597 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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