Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +115 COLO -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -4.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.4 (-2.6) | 138.8 (+3.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.2 (-1.8) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -3.4 (-2.6) | 136.8 (+5.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -3.1 (-2.9) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
| Dec 4, 2022 | WASH 73 – 63 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#104) | 9.2 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#113) | 0.83 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#114) | 1.32 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#149) | 0.542 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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