Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +110 COLO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -1.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.1 (+9.9) | 141.7 (-5.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -1.1 (+11.1) | 139.6 (-3.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.1 (+9.9) | 140.9 (-4.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.5 (+10.5) | 140.5 (-4.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#145) | 9.0 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | 1.17 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#108) | 2.18 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#128) | 0.630 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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