Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -1.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.8 (+14.8) | 154.3 (-5.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.7 (+13.7) | 152.4 (-3.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.2 (+14.2) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.5 (+14.5) | 150.5 (-1.5) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
| Dec 4, 2022 | WASH 73 – 63 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#77) | 8.7 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#25) | 1.93 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#28) | 2.82 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#24) | 0.561 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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