Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | URI -138 FOR +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -2.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.3 (-4.3) | 150.2 (-11.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.3 (-5.3) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.4 (-5.4) | 151.4 (-12.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -2.7 (-5.7) | 153.3 (-14.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | -1.2 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#151) | -0.62 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#149) | -0.73 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#130) | 0.470 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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