Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | URI -200 FOR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +17 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -6.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.8 (-22.8) | 152.2 (+6.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.3 (-20.3) | 152.8 (+6.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.2 (-22.2) | 154.0 (+5.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.0 (-23.0) | 151.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
| Mar 9, 2024 | URI 58 – 50 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#132) | -4.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#137) | -0.80 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#132) | -0.97 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#116) | 0.467 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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