Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FOR -122 URI +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +12 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | URI -0.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -0.3 (+11.7) | 131.3 (-21.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -0.1 (+11.9) | 131.0 (-21.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -0.0 (+12.0) | 130.3 (-20.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.2 (+11.8) | 130.9 (-20.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
| Mar 9, 2024 | URI 58 – 50 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 2.6 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#219) | 0.18 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#197) | 0.30 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#215) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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